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The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy

John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt

Faculty Research Working Papers Series

March 2006

RWP06-011

The views expressed in the KSG Faculty Research Working Paper Series are those of the author(s) and do not

necessarily reflect those of the John F. Kennedy School of Government or Harvard University. Copyright

belongs to the author(s). Papers may be downloaded for personal use only.

THE ISRAEL LOBBY AND U.S. FOREIGN POLICY

John J. Mearsheimer

Department of Political Science

University of Chicago

Stephen M. Walt

John F. Kennedy School of Government

Harvard University

March 2006

An edited version of this paper was published in the London Review of Books Vol. 28, No.

6 (March 23, 2006), and is available online at www.lrb.co.uk

THE ISRAEL LOBBY AND U.S. FOREIGN POLICY

U.S. foreign policy shapes events in every corner of the globe. Nowhere is this

truer than in the Middle East, a region of recurring instability and enormous

strategic importance. Most recently, the Bush Administration’s attempt to

transform the region into a community of democracies has helped produce a

resilient insurgency in Iraq, a sharp rise in world oil prices, and terrorist

bombings in Madrid, London, and Amman. With so much at stake for so many,

all countries need to understand the forces that drive U.S. Middle East policy.

The U.S. national interest should be the primary object of American foreign

policy. For the past several decades, however, and especially since the Six Day

War in 1967, the centerpiece of U.S. Middle East policy has been its relationship

with Israel. The combination of unwavering U.S. support for Israel and the

related effort to spread democracy throughout the region has inflamed Arab and

Islamic opinion and jeopardized U.S. security.

This situation has no equal in American political history. Why has the United

States been willing to set aside its own security in order to advance the interests

of another state? One might assume that the bond between the two countries is

based on shared strategic interests or compelling moral imperatives. As we

show below, however, neither of those explanations can account for the

remarkable level of material and diplomatic support that the United States

provides to Israel.

Instead, the overall thrust of U.S. policy in the region is due almost entirely to

U.S. domestic politics, and especially to the activities of the "Israel Lobby." Other

special interest groups have managed to skew U.S. foreign policy in directions

they favored, but no lobby has managed to divert U.S. foreign policy as far from

what the American national interest would otherwise suggest, while

simultaneously convincing Americans that U.S. and Israeli interests are

essentially identical.1

In the pages that follow, we describe how the Lobby has accomplished this feat,

and how its activities have shaped America’s actions in this critical region.

Given the strategic importance of the Middle East and its potential impact on

others, both Americans and non-Americans need to understand and address the

Lobby’s influence on U.S. policy.

1

Some readers will find this analysis disturbing, but the facts recounted here are

not in serious dispute among scholars. Indeed, our account relies heavily on the

work of Israeli scholars and journalists, who deserve great credit for shedding

light on these issues. We also rely on evidence provided by respected Israeli and

international human rights organizations. Similarly, our claims about the

Lobby’s impact rely on testimony from the Lobby’s own members, as well as

testimony from politicians who have worked with them. Readers may reject our

conclusions, of course, but the evidence on which they rest is not controversial.

THE GREAT BENEFACTOR

Since the October War in 1973, Washington has provided Israel with a level of

support dwarfing the amounts provided to any other state. It has been the

largest annual recipient of direct U.S. economic and military assistance since 1976

and the largest total recipient since World War II. Total direct U.S. aid to Israel

amounts to well over $140 billion in 2003 dollars.2 Israel receives about $3 billion

in direct foreign assistance each year, which is roughly one-fifth of America’s

foreign aid budget. In per capita terms, the United States gives each Israeli a

direct subsidy worth about $500 per year.3 This largesse is especially striking

when one realizes that Israel is now a wealthy industrial state with a per capita

income roughly equal to South Korea or Spain.4

Israel also gets other special deals from Washington.5 Other aid recipients get

their money in quarterly installments, but Israel receives its entire appropriation

at the beginning of each fiscal year and thus earns extra interest. Most recipients

of American military assistance are required to spend all of it in the United

States, but Israel can use roughly twenty-five percent of its aid allotment to

subsidize its own defense industry. Israel is the only recipient that does not have

to account for how the aid is spent, an exemption that makes it virtually

impossible to prevent the money from being used for purposes the United States

opposes, like building settlements in the West Bank.

Moreover, the United States has provided Israel with nearly $3 billion to develop

weapons systems like the Lavi aircraft that the Pentagon did not want or need,

while giving Israel access to top-drawer U.S. weaponry like Blackhawk

helicopters and F-16 jets. Finally, the United States gives Israel access to

intelligence that it denies its NATO allies and has turned a blind eye towards

Israel’s acquisition of nuclear weapons.6

2

In addition, Washington provides Israel with consistent diplomatic support.

Since 1982, the United States has vetoed 32 United Nations Security Council

resolutions that were critical of Israel, a number greater than the combined total

of vetoes cast by all the other Security Council members.7 It also blocks Arab

states’ efforts to put Israel’s nuclear arsenal on the International Atomic Energy

Agency’s agenda.8

The United States also comes to Israel’s rescue in wartime and takes its side

when negotiating peace. The Nixon Administration re-supplied Israel during the

October War and protected Israel from the threat of Soviet intervention.

Washington was deeply involved in the negotiations that ended that war as well

as the lengthy "step-by-step" process that followed, just as it played a key role in

the negotiations that preceded and followed the 1993 Oslo Accords.9 There were

occasional frictions between U.S. and Israeli officials in both cases, but the United

States coordinated its positions closely with Israel and consistently backed the

Israeli approach to the negotiations. Indeed, one American participant at Camp

David (2000) later said, "far too often, we functioned . . . as Israel’s lawyer."10

As discussed below, Washington has given Israel wide latitude in dealing with

the occupied territories (the West Bank and Gaza Strip), even when its actions

were at odds with stated U.S. policy. Moreover, the Bush Administration’s

ambitious strategy to transform the Middle East—beginning with the invasion of

Iraq—is at least partly intended to improve Israel’s strategic situation. Apart

from wartime alliances, it is hard to think of another instance where one country

has provided another with a similar level of material and diplomatic support for

such an extended period. America’s support for Israel is, in short, unique.

This extraordinary generosity might be understandable if Israel were a vital

strategic asset or if there were a compelling moral case for sustained U.S.

backing. But neither rationale is convincing.

A STRATEGIC LIABILITY

According to the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC) website,

"the United States and Israel have formed a unique partnership to meet the

growing strategic threats in the Middle East . . . . This cooperative effort provides

significant benefits for both the United States and Israel."11 This claim is an

article of faith among Israel’s supporters and is routinely invoked by Israeli

politicians and pro-Israel Americans.

3

Israel may have been a strategic asset during the Cold War.12 By serving as

America’s proxy after the Six Day War (1967), Israel helped contain Soviet

expansion in the region and inflicted humiliating defeats on Soviet clients like

Egypt and Syria. Israel occasionally helped protect other U.S. allies (like Jordan’s

King Hussein) and its military prowess forced Moscow to spend more backing

its losing clients. Israel also gave the United States useful intelligence about

Soviet capabilities.

Israel’s strategic value during this period should not be overstated, however.13

Backing Israel was not cheap, and it complicated America’s relations with the

Arab world. For example, the U.S. decision to give Israel $2.2 billion in

emergency military aid during the October War triggered an OPEC oil embargo

that inflicted considerable damage on Western economies. Moreover, Israel’s

military could not protect U.S. interests in the region. For example, the United

States could not rely on Israel when the Iranian Revolution in 1979 raised

concerns about the security of Persian Gulf oil supplies, and had to create its own

"Rapid Deployment Force" instead.

Even if Israel was a strategic asset during the Cold War, the first Gulf War (1990-

91) revealed that Israel was becoming a strategic burden. The United States

could not use Israeli bases during the war without rupturing the anti-Iraq

coalition, and it had to divert resources (e.g., Patriot missile batteries) to keep Tel

Aviv from doing anything that might fracture the alliance against Saddam.

History repeated itself in 2003: although Israel was eager for the United States to

attack Saddam, President Bush could not ask it to help without triggering Arab

opposition. So Israel stayed on the sidelines again.14

Beginning in the 1990s, and especially after 9/11, U.S. support for Israel has been

justified by the claim that both states are threatened by terrorist groups

originating in the Arab or Muslim world, and by a set of "rogue states" that back

these groups and seek WMD. This rationale implies that Washington should

give Israel a free hand in dealing with the Palestinians and not press Israel to

make concessions until all Palestinian terrorists are imprisoned or dead. It also

implies that the United States should go after countries like the Islamic Republic

of Iran, Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, and Bashar al-Assad’s Syria. Israel is thus seen

as a crucial ally in the war on terror, because its enemies are America’s enemies.

This new rationale seems persuasive, but Israel is in fact a liability in the war on

terror and the broader effort to deal with rogue states.

4

To begin with, "terrorism" is a tactic employed by a wide array of political

groups; it is not a single unified adversary. The terrorist organizations that

threaten Israel (e.g., Hamas or Hezbollah) do not threaten the United States,

except when it intervenes against them (as in Lebanon in 1982). Moreover,

Palestinian terrorism is not random violence directed against Israel or "the

West"; it is largely a response to Israel’s prolonged campaign to colonize the

West Bank and Gaza Strip.

More importantly, saying that Israel and the United States are united by a shared

terrorist threat has the causal relationship backwards: rather, the United States

has a terrorism problem in good part because it is so closely allied with Israel,

not the other way around. U.S. support for Israel is not the only source of anti-

American terrorism, but it is an important one, and it makes winning the war on

terror more difficult.15 There is no question, for example, that many al Qaeda

leaders, including bin Laden, are motivated by Israel’s presence in Jerusalem and

the plight of the Palestinians. According to the U.S. 9/11 Commission, bin Laden

explicitly sought to punish the United States for its policies in the Middle East,

including its support for Israel, and he even tried to time the attacks to highlight

this issue.16

Equally important, unconditional U.S. support for Israel makes it easier for

extremists like bin Laden to rally popular support and to attract recruits. Public

opinion polls confirm that Arab populations are deeply hostile to American

support for Israel, and the U.S. State Department’s Advisory Group on Public

Diplomacy for the Arab and Muslim world found that "citizens in these

countries are genuinely distressed at the plight of the Palestinians and at the role

they perceive the United States to be playing."17

As for so-called rogue states in the Middle East, they are not a dire threat to vital

U.S. interests, apart from the U.S. commitment to Israel itself. Although the

United States does have a number of disagreements with these regimes,

Washington would not be nearly as worried about Iran, Ba’thist Iraq, or Syria

were it not so closely tied to Israel. Even if these states acquire nuclear

weapons—which is obviously not desirable—it would not be a strategic disaster

for the United States. Neither America nor Israel could be blackmailed by a

nuclear-armed rogue, because the blackmailer could not carry out the threat

without receiving overwhelming retaliation. The danger of a "nuclear handoff"

to terrorists is equally remote, because a rogue state could not be sure the

transfer would be undetected or that it would not be blamed and punished

afterwards.

5

Furthermore, the U.S. relationship with Israel actually makes it harder to deal

with these states. Israel’s nuclear arsenal is one reason why some of its

neighbors want nuclear weapons, and threatening these states with regime

change merely increases that desire. Yet Israel is not much of an asset when the

United States contemplates using force against these regimes, because it cannot

participate in the fight.

In short, treating Israel as America’s most important ally in the campaign against

terrorism and assorted Middle East dictatorships both exaggerates Israel’s ability

to help on these issues and ignores the ways that Israel’s policies make U.S.

efforts more difficult.

Unquestioned support for Israel also weakens the U.S. position outside the

Middle East. Foreign elites consistently view the United States as too supportive

of Israel, and think its tolerance of Israeli repression in the occupied territories is

morally obtuse and a handicap in the war on terrorism.18 In April 2004, for

example, 52 former British diplomats sent Prime Minister Tony Blair a letter

saying that the Israel-Palestine conflict had "poisoned relations between the West

and the Arab and Islamic worlds," and warning that the policies of Bush and

Prime Minister Ariel Sharon were "one-sided and illegal."19

A final reason to question Israel’s strategic value is that it does not act like a loyal

ally. Israeli officials frequently ignore U.S. requests and renege on promises

made to top U.S. leaders (including past pledges to halt settlement construction

and to refrain from "targeted assassinations" of Palestinian leaders).20 Moreover,

Israel has provided sensitive U.S. military technology to potential U.S. rivals like

China, in what the U.S. State Department Inspector-General called "a systematic

and growing pattern of unauthorized transfers."21 According to the U.S. General

Accounting Office, Israel also "conducts the most aggressive espionage

operations against the U.S. of any ally."22 In addition to the case of Jonathan

Pollard, who gave Israel large quantities of classified material in the early 1980s

(which Israel reportedly passed onto the Soviet Union to gain more exit visas for

Soviet Jews), a new controversy erupted in 2004 when it was revealed that a key

Pentagon official (Larry Franklin) had passed classified information to an Israeli

diplomat, allegedly aided by two AIPAC officials.23 Israel is hardly the only

country that spies on the United States, but its willingness to spy on its principal

patron casts further doubt on its strategic value.

6

A DWINDLING MORAL CASE

Apart from its alleged strategic value, Israel’s backers also argue that it deserves

unqualified U.S. support because 1) it is weak and surrounded by enemies, 2) it

is a democracy, which is a morally preferable form of government; 3) the Jewish

people have suffered from past crimes and therefore deserve special treatment,

and 4) Israel’s conduct has been morally superior to its adversaries’ behavior.

On close inspection, however, each of these arguments is unpersuasive. There is

a strong moral case for supporting Israel’s existence, but that is not in jeopardy.

Viewed objectively, Israel’s past and present conduct offers no moral basis for

privileging it over the Palestinians.

Backing the Underdog?

Israel is often portrayed as weak and besieged, a Jewish David surrounded by a

hostile Arab Goliath. This image has been carefully nurtured by Israeli leaders

and sympathetic writers, but the opposite image is closer to the truth. Contrary

to popular belief, the Zionists had larger, better-equipped, and better-led forces

during the 1947-49 War of Independence and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) won

quick and easy victories against Egypt in 1956 and against Egypt, Jordan, and

Syria in 1967—before large-scale U.S. aid began flowing to Israel.24 These victories

offer eloquent evidence of Israeli patriotism, organizational ability, and military

prowess, but they also reveal that Israel was far from helpless even in its earliest

years.

Today, Israel is the strongest military power in the Middle East. Its conventional

forces are far superior to its neighbors and it is the only state in the region with

nuclear weapons. Egypt and Jordan signed peace treaties with Israel and Saudi

Arabia has offered to do so as well. Syria has lost its Soviet patron, Iraq has been

decimated by three disastrous wars, and Iran is hundreds of miles away. The

Palestinians barely have effective police, let alone a military that could threaten

Israel. According to a 2005 assessment by Tel Aviv University’s prestigious

Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, "the strategic balance decidedly favors Israel,

which has continued to widen the qualitative gap between its own military

capability and deterrence powers and those of its neighbors."25 If backing the

underdog were a compelling rationale, the United States would be supporting

Israel’s opponents.

7

Aiding a Fellow Democracy?

American backing is often justified by the claim that Israel is a fellow-democracy

surrounded by hostile dictatorships. This rationale sounds convincing, but it

cannot account for the current level of U.S. support. After all, there are many

democracies around the world, but none receives the lavish support that Israel

does. The United States has overthrown democratic governments in the past and

supported dictators when this was thought to advance U.S. interests, and it has

good relations with a number of dictatorships today. Thus, being democratic

neither justifies nor explains America’s support for Israel.

The "shared democracy" rationale is also weakened by aspects of Israeli

democracy that are at odds with core American values. The United States is a

liberal democracy where people of any race, religion, or ethnicity are supposed

to enjoy equal rights. By contrast, Israel was explicitly founded as a Jewish state

and citizenship is based on the principle of blood kinship.26 Given this

conception of citizenship, it is not surprising that Israel’s 1.3 million Arabs are

treated as second-class citizens, or that a recent Israeli government commission

found that Israel behaves in a "neglectful and discriminatory" manner towards

them.27

Similarly, Israel does not permit Palestinians who marry Israeli citizens to

become citizens themselves, and does not give these spouses the right to live in

Israel. The Israeli human rights organization B’tselem called this restriction "a

racist law that determines who can live here according to racist criteria."28 Such

laws may be understandable given Israel’s founding principles, but they are not

consistent with America’s image of democracy.

Israel’s democratic status is also undermined by its refusal to grant the

Palestinians a viable state of their own. Israel controls the lives of about 3.8

million Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, while colonizing lands on which

the Palestinians have long dwelt. Israel is formally democratic, but the millions

of Palestinians that it controls are denied full political rights and the "shared

democracy" rationale is correspondingly weakened.

Compensation for Past Crimes

A third moral justification is the history of Jewish suffering in the Christian West,

especially the tragic episode of the Holocaust. Because Jews were persecuted for

8

centuries and can only be safe in a Jewish homeland, many believe that Israel

deserves special treatment from the United States.

There is no question that Jews suffered greatly from the despicable legacy of anti-

Semitism, and that Israel’s creation was an appropriate response to a long record

of crimes. This history, as noted, provides a strong moral case for supporting

Israel’s existence. But the creation of Israel involved additional crimes against a

largely innocent third party: the Palestinians.

The history of these events is well-understood. When political Zionism began in

earnest in the late 19th century, there were only about 15,000 Jews in Palestine.29

In 1893, for example, the Arabs comprised roughly 95 percent of the population,

and though under Ottoman control, they had been in continuous possession of

this territory for 1300 years.30 Even when Israel was founded, Jews were only

about 35 percent of Palestine’s population and owned 7 percent of the land.31

The mainstream Zionist leadership was not interested in establishing a bi-

national state or accepting a permanent partition of Palestine. The Zionist

leadership was sometimes willing to accept partition as a first step, but this was a

tactical maneuver and not their real objective. As David Ben-Gurion put it in the

late 1930s, "After the formation of a large army in the wake of the establishment

of the state, we shall abolish partition and expand to the whole of Palestine."32

To achieve this goal, the Zionists had to expel large numbers of Arabs from the

territory that would eventually become Israel. There was simply no other way to

accomplish their objective. Ben-Gurion saw the problem clearly, writing in 1941

that "it is impossible to imagine general evacuation [of the Arab population]

without compulsion, and brutal compulsion."33 Or as Israeli historian Benny

Morris puts it, "the idea of transfer is as old as modern Zionism and has

accompanied its evolution and praxis during the past century."34

This opportunity came in 1947-48, when Jewish forces drove up to 700,000

Palestinians into exile.35 Israeli officials have long claimed that the Arabs fled

because their leaders told them to, but careful scholarship (much of it by Israeli

historians like Morris) have demolished this myth. In fact, most Arab leaders

urged the Palestinian population to stay home, but fear of violent death at the

hands of Zionist forces led most of them to flee.36 After the war, Israel barred the

return of the Palestinian exiles.

9

The fact that the creation of Israel entailed a moral crime against the Palestinian

people was well understood by Israel’s leaders. As Ben-Gurion told Nahum

Goldmann, president of the World Jewish Congress, "If I were an Arab leader I

would never make terms with Israel. That is natural: we have taken their

country. . . . We come from Israel, but two thousand years ago, and what is that

to them? There has been anti-Semitism, the Nazis, Hitler, Auschwitz, but was

that their fault? They only see one thing: we have come here and stolen their

country. Why should they accept that?"37

Since then, Israeli leaders have repeatedly sought to deny the Palestinians’

national ambitions.38 Prime Minister Golda Meir famously remarked that "there

was no such thing as a Palestinian," and even Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, who

signed the 1993 Oslo Accords, nonetheless opposed creating a full-fledged

Palestinian state.39 Pressure from extremist violence and the growing Palestinian

population has forced subsequent Israeli leaders to disengage from some of the

occupied territories and to explore territorial compromise, but no Israeli

government has been willing to offer the Palestinians a viable state of their own.

Even Prime Minister Ehud Barak’s purportedly generous offer at Camp David in

July 2000 would only have given the Palestinians a disarmed and dismembered

set of "Bantustans" under de facto Israeli control.40

Europe’s crimes against the Jews provide a clear moral justification for Israel’s

right to exist. But Israel’s survival is not in doubt—even if some Islamic

extremists make outrageous and unrealistic references to "wiping it off the

map"—and the tragic history of the Jewish people does not obligate the United

States to help Israel no matter what it does today.

"Virtuous Israelis" versus "Evil Arabs"

The final moral argument portrays Israel as a country that has sought peace at

every turn and showed great restraint even when provoked. The Arabs, by

contrast, are said to have acted with great wickedness. This narrative—which is

endlessly repeated by Israeli leaders and American apologists such as Alan

Dershowitz—is yet another myth.41 In terms of actual behavior, Israel’s conduct

is not morally distinguishable from the actions of its opponents.

Israeli scholarship shows that the early Zionists were far from benevolent

towards the Palestinian Arabs.42 The Arab inhabitants did resist the Zionists’

encroachments, which is hardly surprising given that the Zionists were trying to

create their own state on Arab lands. The Zionists responded vigorously, and

10

neither side owns the moral high ground during this period. This same

scholarship also reveals that the creation of Israel in 1947-48 involved explicit

acts of ethnic cleansing, including executions, massacres, and rapes by Jews.43

Furthermore, Israel’s subsequent conduct towards its Arab adversaries and its

Palestinian subjects has often been brutal, belying any claim to morally superior

conduct. Between 1949 and 1956, for example, Israeli security forces killed

between 2,700 and 5000 Arab infiltrators, the overwhelming majority of them

unarmed.44 The IDF conducted numerous cross-border raids against its

neighbors in the early 1950s, and though these actions were portrayed as

defensive responses, they were actually part of a broader effort to expand Israel’s

borders. Israel’s expansionist ambitions also led it to join Britain and France in

attacking Egypt in 1956, and Israel withdrew from the lands it had conquered

only in the face of intense U.S. pressure. 45

The IDF also murdered hundreds of Egyptian prisoners-of-war in both the 1956

and 1967 wars.46 In 1967, it expelled between 100,000 and 260,000 Palestinians

from the newly-conquered West Bank, and drove 80,000 Syrians from the Golan

Heights.47 It was also complicit in the massacre of 700 innocent Palestinians at

the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps following its invasion of Lebanon in 1982,

and an Israeli investigatory commission found then-Defence Minister Sharon

"personally responsible" for these atrocities.48

Israeli personnel have tortured numerous Palestinian prisoners, systematically

humiliated and inconvenienced Palestinian civilians, and used force

indiscriminately against them on numerous occasions. During the First Intifida

(1987-1991), for example, the IDF distributed truncheons to its troops and

encouraged them to break the bones of Palestinian protestors. The Swedish

"Save the Children" organization estimated that "23,600 to 29,900 children

required medical treatment for their beating injuries in the first two years of the

intifida," with nearly one-third sustaining broken bones. Nearly one-third of the

beaten children were aged ten and under."49

Israel’s response to the Second Intifida (2000-2005) has been even more violent,

leading Ha’aretz to declare that "the IDF … is turning into a killing machine

whose efficiency is awe-inspiring, yet shocking."50 The IDF fired one million

bullets in the first days of the uprising, which is far from a measured response.51

Since then, Israel has killed 3.4 Palestinians for every Israeli lost, the majority of

whom have been innocent bystanders; the ratio of Palestinian to Israeli children

killed is even higher (5.7 to 1).52 Israeli forces have also killed several foreign

11

peace activists, including a 23 year-old American woman crushed by an Israeli

bulldozer in March 2003.53

These facts about Israel’s conduct have been amply documented by numerous

human rights organizations—including prominent Israeli groups—and are not

disputed by fair-minded observers. And that is why four former officials of Shin

Bet (the Israeli domestic security organization) condemned Israel’s conduct

during the Second Intifada in November 2003. One of them declared "we are

behaving disgracefully," and another termed Israel’s conduct "patently

immoral."54

But isn’t Israel entitled to do whatever it takes to protect its citizens? Doesn’t the

unique evil of terrorism justify continued U.S. support, even if Israel often

responds harshly?

In fact, this argument is not a compelling moral justification either. Palestinians

have used terrorism against their Israeli occupiers, and their willingness to attack

innocent civilians is wrong. This behavior is not surprising, however, because

the Palestinians believe they have no other way to force Israeli concessions. As

former Prime Minister Barak once admitted, had he been born a Palestinian, he

"would have joined a terrorist organization."55

Finally, we should not forget that the Zionists used terrorism when they were in

a similarly weak position and trying to obtain their own state. Between 1944 and

1947, several Zionist organizations used terrorist bombings to drive the British

from Palestine, and took the lives of many innocent civilians along the way.56

Israeli terrorists also murdered U.N. mediator Count Folke Bernadotte in 1948,

because they opposed his proposal to internationalize Jerusalem.57 Nor were the

perpetrators of these acts isolated extremists: the leaders of the murder plot were

eventually granted amnesty by the Israeli government and one of them was

elected to the Knesset. Another terrorist leader, who approved the murder but

was not tried, was future Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir. Indeed, Shamir openly

argued that "neither Jewish ethics nor Jewish tradition can disqualify terrorism

as a means of combat." Rather, terrorism had "a great part to play … in our war

against the occupier [Britain]."58 If the Palestinians’ use of terrorism is morally

reprehensible today, so was Israel’s reliance upon it in the past, and thus one

cannot justify U.S. support for Israel on the grounds that its past conduct was

morally superior.59

12

Israel may not have acted worse than many other countries, but it clearly has not

acted any better. And if neither strategic nor moral arguments can account for

America’s support for Israel, how are we to explain it?

THE ISRAEL LOBBY

The explanation lies in the unmatched power of the Israel Lobby. Were it not for

the Lobby’s ability to manipulate the American political system, the relationship

between Israel and the United States would be far less intimate than it is today.

What Is The Lobby?

We use "the Lobby" as a convenient short-hand term for the loose coalition of

individuals and organizations who actively work to shape U.S. foreign policy in

a pro-Israel direction. Our use of this term is not meant to suggest that "the

Lobby" is a unified movement with a central leadership, or that individuals

within it do not disagree on certain issues

The core of the Lobby is comprised of American Jews who make a significant

effort in their daily lives to bend U.S. foreign policy so that it advances Israel’s

interests. Their activities go beyond merely voting for candidates who are pro-

Israel to include letter-writing, financial contributions, and supporting pro-Israel

organizations. But not all Jewish-Americans are part of the Lobby, because

Israel is not a salient issue for many of them. In a 2004 survey, for example,

roughly 36 percent of Jewish-Americans said they were either "not very" or "not

at all" emotionally attached to Israel.60

Jewish-Americans also differ on specific Israeli policies. Many of the key

organizations in the Lobby, like AIPAC and the Conference of Presidents of

Major Jewish Organizations (CPMJO), are run by hardliners who generally

supported the expansionist policies of Israel’s Likud Party, including its hostility

to the Oslo Peace Process. The bulk of U.S. Jewry, on the other hand, is more

favorably disposed to making concessions to the Palestinians, and a few

groups—such as Jewish Voice for Peace—strongly advocate such steps.61 Despite

these differences, moderates and hardliners both support steadfast U.S. support

for Israel.

Not surprisingly, American Jewish leaders often consult with Israeli officials, so

that the former can maximize their influence in the United States. As one activist

with a major Jewish organization wrote, "it is routine for us to say: ‘This is our

13

policy on a certain issue, but we must check what the Israelis think.’ We as a

community do it all the time."62 There is also a strong norm against criticizing

Israeli policy, and Jewish-American leaders rarely support putting pressure on

Israel. Thus, Edgar Bronfman Sr., the president of the World Jewish Congress,

was accused of "perfidy" when he wrote a letter to President Bush in mid-2003

urging Bush to pressure Israel to curb construction of its controversial "security

fence."63 Critics declared that, "It would be obscene at any time for the president

of the World Jewish Congress to lobby the president of the United States to resist

policies being promoted by the government of Israel."

Similarly, when Israel Policy Forum president Seymour Reich advised Secretary

of State Condoleezza Rice to pressure Israel to reopen a critical border crossing in

the Gaza Strip in November 2005, critics denounced his action as "irresponsible

behavior," and declared that, "There is absolutely no room in the Jewish

mainstream for actively canvassing against the security-related policies . . . of

Israel."64 Recoiling from these attacks, Reich proclaimed that "the word pressure

is not in my vocabulary when it comes to Israel."

Jewish-Americans have formed an impressive array of organizations to influence

American foreign policy, of which AIPAC is the most powerful and well-known.

In 1997, Fortune magazine asked members of Congress and their staffs to list the

most powerful lobbies in Washington.65 AIPAC was ranked second behind the

American Association of Retired People (AARP), but ahead of heavyweight

lobbies like the AFL-CIO and the National Rifle Association. A National Journal

study in March 2005 reached a similar conclusion, placing AIPAC in second

place (tied with AARP) in the Washington’s "muscle rankings."66

The Lobby also includes prominent Christian evangelicals like Gary Bauer, Jerry

Falwell, Ralph Reed, and Pat Robertson, as well as Dick Armey and Tom DeLay,

former majority leaders in the House of Representatives. They believe Israel’s

rebirth is part of Biblical prophecy, support its expansionist agenda, and think

pressuring Israel is contrary to God’s will.67 In addition, the Lobby’s

membership includes neoconservative gentiles such as John Bolton, the late Wall

Street Journal editor Robert Bartley, former Secretary of Education William

Bennett, former U.N. Ambassador Jeanne Kirkpatrick, and columnist George

Will.

14

Sources of Power

The United States has a divided government that offers many ways to influence

the policy process. As a result, interest groups can shape policy in many

different ways—by lobbying elected representatives and members of the

executive branch, making campaign contributions, voting in elections, molding

public opinion, etc.

Furthermore, special interest groups enjoy disproportionate power when they

are committed to a particular issue and the bulk of the population is indifferent.

Policymakers will tend to accommodate those who care about the issue in

question, even if their numbers are small, confident that the rest of the

population will not penalize them.

The Israel Lobby’s power flows from its unmatched ability to play this game of

interest group politics. In its basic operations, it is no different from interest

groups like the Farm Lobby, steel and textile workers, and other ethnic lobbies.

What sets the Israel Lobby apart is its extraordinary effectiveness. But there is

nothing improper about American Jews and their Christian allies attempting to

sway U.S. policy towards Israel. The Lobby’s activities are not the sort of

conspiracy depicted in anti-Semitic tracts like the Protocols of the Elders of Zion.

For the most part, the individuals and groups that comprise the Lobby are doing

what other special interest groups do, just much better. Moreover, pro-Arab

interest groups are weak to non-existent, which makes the Lobby’s task even

easier.68

Strategies for Success

The Lobby pursues two broad strategies to promote U.S. support for Israel. First,

it wields significant influence in Washington, pressuring both Congress and the

Executive branch to support Israel down the line. Whatever an individual

lawmaker or policymaker’s own views, the Lobby tries to make supporting Israel

the "smart" political choice.

Second, the Lobby strives to ensure that public discourse about Israel portrays it

in a positive light, by repeating myths about Israel and its founding and by

publicizing Israel’s side in the policy debates of the day. The goal is to prevent

critical commentary about Israel from getting a fair hearing in the political arena.

Controlling the debate is essential to guaranteeing U.S. support, because a

15

candid discussion of U.S.-Israeli relations might lead Americans to favor a

different policy.

Influencing Congress

A key pillar of the Lobby’s effectiveness is its influence in the U.S. Congress,

where Israel is virtually immune from criticism. This is in itself a remarkable

situation, because Congress almost never shies away from contentious issues.

Whether the issue is abortion, affirmative action, health care, or welfare, there is

certain to be a lively debate on Capitol Hill. Where Israel is concerned, however,

potential critics fall silent and there is hardly any debate at all.

One reason for the Lobby’s success with Congress is that some key members are

Christian Zionists like Dick Armey, who said in September 2002 that "My No. 1

priority in foreign policy is to protect Israel."69 One would think that the number

1 priority for any congressman would be to "protect America," but that is not

what Armey said. There are also Jewish senators and congressmen who work to

make U.S. foreign policy support Israel’s interests.

Pro-Israel congressional staffers are another source of the Lobby’s power. As

Morris Amitay, a former head of AIPAC, once admitted, "There are a lot of guys

at the working level up here [on Capitol Hill] … who happen to be Jewish, who

are willing … to look at certain issues in terms of their Jewishness …. These are

all guys who are in a position to make the decision in these areas for those

senators …. You can get an awful lot done just at the staff level."70

It is AIPAC itself, however, that forms the core of the Lobby’s influence in

Congress. AIPAC’s success is due to its ability to reward legislators and

congressional candidates who support its agenda, and to punish those who

challenge it. Money is critical to U.S. elections (as the recent scandal over

lobbyist Jack Abramoff’s various shady dealings reminds us), and AIPAC makes

sure that its friends get strong financial support from the myriad pro-Israel

political action committees. Those seen as hostile to Israel, on the other hand,

can be sure that AIPAC will direct campaign contributions to their political

opponents. AIPAC also organizes letter-writing campaigns and encourages

newspaper editors to endorse pro-Israel candidates.

There is no doubt about the potency of these tactics. To take but one example, in

1984 AIPAC helped defeat Senator Charles Percy from Illinois, who, according to

one prominent Lobby figure, had "displayed insensitivity and even hostility to

16

our concerns." Thomas Dine, the head of AIPAC at the time, explained what

happened: "All the Jews in America, from coast to coast, gathered to oust Percy.

And the American politicians -- those who hold public positions now, and those

who aspire -- got the message."71 AIPAC prizes its reputation as a formidable

adversary, of course, because it discourages anyone from questioning its agenda.

AIPAC’s influence on Capitol Hill goes even further, however. According to

Douglas Bloomfield, a former AIPAC staff member, "It is common for members

of Congress and their staffs to turn to AIPAC first when they need information,

before calling the Library of Congress, the Congressional Research Service,

committee staff or administration experts."72 More importantly, he notes that

AIPAC is "often called upon to draft speeches, work on legislation, advise on

tactics, perform research, collect co-sponsors and marshal votes."

The bottom line is that AIPAC, which is a de facto agent for a foreign government,

has a stranglehold on the U.S. Congress.73 Open debate about U.S. policy

towards Israel does not occur there, even though that policy has important

consequences for the entire world. Thus, one of the three main branches of the

U.S. government is firmly committed to supporting Israel. As former Senator

Ernest Hollings (D-SC) noted as he was leaving office, "You can’t have an Israeli

policy other than what AIPAC gives you around here."74 Small wonder that

Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon once told an American audience. "When

people ask me how they can help Israel, I tell them—Help AIPAC."75

Influencing the Executive

The Lobby also has significant leverage over the Executive branch. That power

derives in part from the influence Jewish voters have on presidential elections.

Despite their small numbers in the population (less than 3 percent), they make

large campaign donations to candidates from both parties. The Washington Post

once estimated that Democratic presidential candidates "depend on Jewish

supporters to supply as much as 60 percent of the money."76 Furthermore,

Jewish voters have high turn-out rates and are concentrated in key states like

California, Florida, Illinois, New York, and Pennsylvania. Because they matter in

close elections, Presidential candidates go to great lengths not to antagonize

Jewish voters.

Key organizations in the Lobby also directly target the administration in power.

For example, pro-Israel forces make sure that critics of the Jewish state do not get

important foreign-policy appointments. Jimmy Carter wanted to make George

17

Ball his first secretary of state, but he knew that Ball was perceived as critical of

Israel and that the Lobby would oppose the appointment.77 This litmus test

forces any aspiring policymaker to become an overt supporter of Israel, which is

why public critics of Israeli policy have become an endangered species in the

U.S. foreign policy establishment.

These constraints still operate today. When 2004 presidential candidate Howard

Dean called for the United States to take a more "even-handed role" in the Arab-

Israeli conflict, Senator Joseph Lieberman accused him of selling Israel down the

river and said his statement was "irresponsible."78 Virtually all of the top

Democrats in the House signed a hard-hitting letter to Dean criticizing his

comments, and the Chicago Jewish Star reported that "anonymous attackers … are

clogging the e-mail inboxes of Jewish leaders around the country, warning --

without much evidence -- that Dean would somehow be bad for Israel."79

This worry was absurd, however, because Dean is in fact quite hawkish on

Israel.80 His campaign co-chair was a former AIPAC president, and Dean said

his own views on the Middle East more closely reflected those of AIPAC than the

more moderate Americans for Peace Now. Dean had merely suggested that to

"bring the sides together," Washington should act as an honest broker. This is

hardly a radical idea, but it is anathema to the Lobby, which does not tolerate the

idea of even-handedness when it comes to the Arab-Israeli conflict.

The Lobby’s goals are also served when pro-Israel individuals occupy important

positions in the executive branch. During the Clinton Administration, for

example, Middle East policy was largely shaped by officials with close ties to

Israel or to prominent pro-Israel organizations—including Martin Indyk, the

former deputy director of research at AIPAC and co-founder of the pro-Israel

Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP); Dennis Ross, who joined

WINEP after leaving government in 2001; and Aaron Miller, who has lived in

Israel and often visits there.81

These men were among President Clinton’s closest advisors at the Camp David

summit in July 2000. Although all three supported the Oslo peace process and

favored creation of a Palestinian state, they did so only within the limits of what

would be acceptable to Israel.82 In particular, the American delegation took its

cues from Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, coordinated negotiating positions

in advance, and did not offer its own independent proposals for settling the

conflict. Not surprisingly, Palestinian negotiators complained that they were

18

"negotiating with two Israeli teams -- one displaying an Israeli flag, and one an

American flag."83

The situation is even more pronounced in the Bush Administration, whose ranks

include fervently pro-Israel individuals like Elliot Abrams, John Bolton, Douglas

Feith, I. Lewis ("Scooter") Libby, Richard Perle, Paul Wolfowitz, and David

Wurmser. As we shall see, these officials consistently pushed for policies

favored by Israel and backed by organizations in the Lobby.

Manipulating the Media

In addition to influencing government policy directly, the Lobby strives to shape

public perceptions about Israel and the Middle East. It does not want an open

debate on issues involving Israel, because an open debate might cause Americans

to question the level of support that they currently provide. Accordingly, pro-

Israel organizations work hard to influence the media, think tanks, and

academia, because these institutions are critical in shaping popular opinion.

The Lobby’s perspective on Israel is widely reflected in the mainstream media in

good part because most American commentators are pro-Israel. The debate

among Middle East pundits, journalist Eric Alterman writes, is "dominated by

people who cannot imagine criticizing Israel."84 He lists 61 "columnists and

commentators who can be counted upon to support Israel reflexively and

without qualification." Conversely, Alterman found just five pundits who

consistently criticize Israeli behavior or endorse pro-Arab positions.

Newspapers occasionally publish guest op-eds challenging Israeli policy, but the

balance of opinion clearly favors the other side.

This pro-Israel bias is reflected in the editorials of major newspapers. Robert

Bartley, the late editor of the Wall Street Journal, once remarked that, "Shamir,

Sharon, Bibi – whatever those guys want is pretty much fine by me."85 Not

surprisingly, the Journal, along with other prominent newspapers like The Chicago

Sun-Times and The Washington Times regularly run editorials that are strongly

pro-Israel. Magazines like Commentary, the New Republic, and the Weekly

Standard also zealously defend Israel at every turn.

Editorial bias is also found in papers like the New York Times. The Times

occasionally criticizes Israeli policies and sometimes concedes that the

Palestinians have legitimate grievances, but it is not even-handed. In his

memoirs, for example, former Times executive editor Max Frankel acknowledged

19

the impact his own pro-Israel attitude had on his editorial choices. In his words:

"I was much more deeply devoted to Israel than I dared to assert." He goes on:

"Fortified by my knowledge of Israel and my friendships there, I myself wrote

most of our Middle East commentaries. As more Arab than Jewish readers

recognized, I wrote them from a pro-Israel perspective." 86

The media’s reporting of news events involving Israel is somewhat more even-

handed than editorial commentary is, in part because reporters strive to be

objective, but also because it is difficult to cover events in the occupied territories

without acknowledging Israel’s actual behavior. To discourage unfavorable

reporting on Israel, the Lobby organizes letter writing campaigns,

demonstrations, and boycotts against news outlets whose content it considers

anti-Israel. One CNN executive has said that he sometimes gets 6,000 e-mail

messages in a single day complaining that a story is anti-Israel.87 Similarly, the

pro-Israel Committee for Accurate Middle East Reporting in America

(CAMERA) organized demonstrations outside National Public Radio stations in

33 cities in May 2003, and it also tried to convince contributors to withhold

support from NPR until its Middle East coverage became more sympathetic to

Israel.88 Boston’s NPR station, WBUR, reportedly lost more than $1 million in

contributions as a result of these efforts. Pressure on NPR has also come from

Israel’s friends in Congress, who have asked NPR for an internal audit as well as

more oversight of its Middle East coverage.

These factors help explain why the American media contains few criticisms of

Israeli policy, rarely questions Washington’s relationship with Israel, and only

occasionally discusses the Lobby’s profound influence on U.S. policy.

Think Tanks That Think One Way

Pro-Israel forces predominate in U.S. think tanks, which play an important role

in shaping public debate as well as actual policy. The Lobby created its own

think tank in 1985, when Martin Indyk helped found WINEP.89 Although

WINEP plays down its links to Israel and claims instead that it provides a

"balanced and realistic" perspective on Middle East issues, this is not the case.90

In fact, WINEP is funded and run by individuals who are deeply committed to

advancing Israel’s agenda.

The Lobby’s influence in the think tank world extends well beyond WINEP.

Over the past 25 years, pro-Israel forces have established a commanding

presence at the American Enterprise Institute, the Brookings Institution, the

20

Center for Security Policy, the Foreign Policy Research Institute, the Heritage

Foundation, the Hudson Institute, the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, and

the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs (JINSA). These think tanks are

decidedly pro-Israel, and include few, if any, critics of U.S. support for the Jewish

state.

A good indicator of the Lobby’s influence in the think tank world is the evolution

of the Brookings Institution. For many years, its senior expert on Middle East

issues was William B. Quandt, a distinguished academic and former NSC official

with a well-deserved reputation for evenhandedness regarding the Arab-Israeli

conflict. Today, however, Brookings’s work on these issues is conducted

through its Saban Center for Middle East Studies, which is financed by Haim

Saban, a wealthy Israeli-American businessman and ardent Zionist.91 The

director of the Saban Center is the ubiquitous Martin Indyk. Thus, what was

once a non-partisan policy institute on Middle East matters is now part of the

chorus of largely pro-Israel think tanks.

Policing Academia

The Lobby has had the most difficulty stifling debate about Israel on college

campuses, because academic freedom is a core value and because tenured

professors are hard to threaten or silence. Even so, there was only mild criticism

of Israel in the 1990s, when the Oslo peace process was underway. Criticism rose

after that process collapsed and Ariel Sharon came to power in early 2001, and it

became especially intense when the IDF re-occupied the West Bank in spring

2002 and employed massive force against the Second Intifada.

The Lobby moved aggressively to "take back the campuses." New groups

sprang up, like the Caravan for Democracy, which brought Israeli speakers to

U.S. colleges.92 Established groups like the Jewish Council for Public Affairs and

Hillel jumped into the fray, and a new group—the Israel on Campus Coalition—

was formed to coordinate the many groups that now sought to make Israel’s case

on campus. Finally, AIPAC more than tripled its spending for programs to

monitor university activities and to train young advocates for Israel, in order to

"vastly expand the number of students involved on campus . . . in the national

pro-Israel effort."93

The Lobby also monitors what professors write and teach. In September 2002,

for example, Martin Kramer and Daniel Pipes, two passionately pro-Israel

neoconservatives, established a website (Campus Watch) that posted dossiers on

21

suspect academics and encouraged students to report comments or behavior that

might be considered hostile to Israel.94 This transparent attempt to blacklist and

intimidate scholars prompted a harsh reaction and Pipes and Kramer later

removed the dossiers, but the website still invites students to report alleged anti-

Israel behavior at U.S. colleges.

Groups in the Lobby also direct their fire at particular professors and the

universities that hire them. Columbia University, which had the late Palestinian

scholar Edward Said on its faculty, has been a frequent target of pro-Israel forces.

Jonathan Cole, the former Columbia provost, reported that, "One can be sure

that any public statement in support of the Palestinian people by the preeminent

literary critic Edward Said will elicit hundreds of e-mails, letters, and journalistic

accounts that call on us to denounce Said and to either sanction or fire him."95

When Columbia recruited historian Rashid Khalidi from the University of

Chicago, Cole says that "the complaints started flowing in from people who

disagreed with the content of his political views." Princeton faced the same

problem a few years later when it considered wooing Khalidi away from

Columbia.96

A classic illustration of the effort to police academia occurred in late 2004, when

the "David Project" produced a propaganda film alleging that faculty in

Columbia University’s Middle East studies program were anti-Semitic and were

intimidating Jewish students who defended Israel.97 Columbia was raked over

the coals in pro-Israel circles, but a faculty committee assigned to investigate the

charges found no evidence of anti-Semitism and the only incident worth noting

was the possibility that one professor had "responded heatedly" to a student’s

question.98 The committee also discovered that the accused professors had been

the target of an overt intimidation campaign.

Perhaps the most disturbing aspect of this campaign to eliminate criticism of

Israel from college campuses is the effort by Jewish groups to push Congress to

establish mechanisms that monitor what professors say about Israel.99 Schools

judged to have an anti-Israel bias would be denied Federal funding. This effort

to get the U.S. government to police campuses have not yet succeeded, but the

attempt illustrates the importance pro-Israel groups place on controlling debate

on these issues.

Finally, a number of Jewish philanthropists have established Israel studies

programs (in addition to the roughly 130 Jewish Studies programs that already

exist) so as to increase the number of Israel-friendly scholars on campus.100 NYU

22

announced the establishment of the Taub Center for Israel Studies on May 1,

2003, and similar programs have been established at other schools like Berkeley,

Brandeis, and Emory. Academic administrators emphasize the pedagogical

value of these programs, but the truth is that they are intended in good part to

promote Israel’s image on campus. Fred Laffer, the head of the Taub

Foundation, makes clear that his foundation funded the NYU center to help

counter the "Arabic [sic] point of view" that he thinks is prevalent in NYU’s

Middle East programs.101

In sum, the Lobby has gone to considerable lengths to insulate Israel from

criticism on college campuses. It has not been as successful in academia as it has

been on Capitol Hill, but it has worked hard to stifle criticism of Israel by

professors and students and there is much less of it on campuses today.102

The Great Silencer

No discussion of how the Lobby operates would be complete without examining

one of its most powerful weapons: the charge of anti-Semitism. Anyone who

criticizes Israeli actions or says that pro-Israel groups have significant influence

over U.S. Middle East policy—an influence that AIPAC celebrates—stands a

good chance of getting labeled an anti-Semite. In fact, anyone who says that

there is an Israel Lobby runs the risk of being charged with anti-Semitism, even

though the Israeli media themselves refer to America’s "Jewish Lobby." In effect,

the Lobby boasts of its own power and then attacks anyone who calls attention to

it. This tactic is very effective, because anti-Semitism is loathsome and no

responsible person wants to be accused of it.

Europeans have been more willing than Americans to criticize Israeli policy in

recent years, which some attribute to a resurgence of anti-Semitism in Europe.

We are "getting to a point," the U.S. Ambassador to the European Union said in

early 2004, "where it is as bad as it was in the 1930s."103 Measuring anti-Semitism

is a complicated matter, but the weight of evidence points in the opposite

direction. For example, in the spring of 2004, when accusations of European anti-

Semitism filled the air in America, separate surveys of European public opinion

conducted by the Anti-Defamation League and the Pew Research Center for the

People and the Press showed that it was actually declining.104

Consider France, which pro-Israel forces often portray as the most anti-Semitic

state in Europe. A poll of French citizens in 2002 found that: 89 percent could

envisage living with a Jew; 97 percent believe making anti-Semitic graffiti is a

23

serious crime; 87 percent think attacks on French synagogues are scandalous;

and 85 percent of practicing French Catholics reject the charge that Jews have too

much influence in business and finance.105 It is unsurprising that the head of the

French Jewish community declared in the summer of 2003 that "France is not

more anti-Semitic than America."106 According to a recent article in Ha'aretz, the

French police report that anti-Semitic incidents in France declined by almost 50

per cent in 2005; and this despite the fact that France has the largest Muslim

population of any country in Europe.107

Finally, when a French Jew was brutally murdered last month by a Muslim gang,

tens of thousands of French demonstrators poured into the streets to condemn

anti-Semitism. Moreover, President Jacques Chirac and Prime Minister

Dominique de Villepin both attended the victim’s memorial service in a public

show of solidarity with French Jewry.108 It is also worth noting that in 2002 more

Jews immigrated to Germany than Israel, making it "the fastest growing Jewish

community in the world," according to an article in the Jewish newspaper

Forward.109 If Europe were really heading back to the 1930s, it is hard to imagine

that Jews would be moving there in large numbers.

We recognize, however, that Europe is not free of the scourge of anti-Semitism.

No one would deny that there are still some virulent autochthonous anti-Semites

in Europe (as there are in the United States) but their numbers are small and their

extreme views are rejected by the vast majority of Europeans. Nor would one

deny that there is anti-Semitism among European Muslims, some of it provoked

by Israel’s behavior towards the Palestinians and some of it straightforwardly

racist. 110 This problem is worrisome, but it is hardly out of control. Muslims

constitute less than five percent of Europe’s total population, and European

governments are working hard to combat the problem. Why? Because most

Europeans reject such hateful views.111 In short, when it comes to anti-Semitism,

Europe today bears hardly any resemblance to Europe in the 1930s.

This is why pro-Israel forces, when pressed to go beyond assertion, claim that

there is a ‘new anti-Semitism’, which they equate with criticism of Israel.112 In

other words criticize Israeli policy and you are by definition an anti-Semite.

When the synod of the Church of England recently voted to divest from

Caterpillar Inc on the grounds that Caterpillar manufactures the bulldozers used

to demolish Palestinian homes, the Chief Rabbi complained that it would 'have

the most adverse repercussions on ... Jewish-Christian relations in Britain', while

Rabbi Tony Bayfield, the head of the Reform movement, said: "'There is a clear

problem of anti-Zionist - verging on anti-Semitic - attitudes emerging in the grass

24

roots, and even in the middle ranks of the Church."113 However, the Church was

neither guilty of anti-Zionism nor anti-Semitism; it was merely protesting Israeli

policy.114

Critics are also accused of holding Israel to an unfair standard or questioning its

right to exist. But these are bogus charges too. Western critics of Israel hardly

ever question its right to exist. Instead, they question its behavior towards the

Palestinians, which is a legitimate criticism: Israelis question it themselves. Nor is

Israel being judged unfairly. Rather, Israeli treatment of the Palestinians elicits

criticism because it is contrary to widely-accepted human rights norms and

international law, as well as the principle of national self-determination. And it is

hardly the only state that has faced sharp criticism on these grounds.

In sum, other ethnic lobbies can only dream of having the political muscle that

pro-Israel organizations possess. The question, therefore, is what effect does the

Lobby have on U.S. foreign policy?

THE TAIL WAGGING THE DOG

If the Lobby’s impact were confined to U.S. economic aid to Israel, its influence

might not be that worrisome. Foreign aid is valuable, but not as useful as having

the world’s only superpower bring its vast capabilities to bear on Israel’s behalf.

Accordingly, the Lobby has also sought to shape the core elements of U.S.

Middle East policy. In particular, it has worked successfully to convince

American leaders to back Israel’s continued repression of the Palestinians and to

take aim at Israel’s primary regional adversaries: Iran, Iraq, and Syria.

Demonizing the Palestinians

It is now largely forgotten, but in the fall of 2001, and especially in the spring of

2002, the Bush Administration tried to reduce anti-American sentiment in the

Arab world and undermine support for terrorist groups like al Qaeda, by halting

Israel’s expansionist policies in the occupied territories and advocating the

creation of a Palestinian state.

Bush had enormous potential leverage at his disposal. He could have threatened

to reduce U.S. economic and diplomatic support for Israel, and the American

people would almost certainly have supported him. A May 2003 poll reported

that over 60 percent of Americans were willing to withhold aid to Israel if it

resisted U.S. pressure to settle the conflict, and that number rose to 70 percent

25

among "politically active" Americans.115 Indeed, 73 percent said that United

States should not favor either side.

Yet the Bush Administration failed to change Israel’s policies, and Washington

ended up backing Israel’s hard-line approach instead. Over time, the

Administration also adopted Israel’s justifications for this approach, so that U.S.

and Israeli rhetoric became similar. By February 2003, a Washington Post

headline summarized the situation: "Bush and Sharon Nearly Identical on

Mideast Policy."116 The main reason for this switch is the Lobby.

The story begins in late September 2001 when President Bush began pressuring

Israeli Prime Minister Sharon to show restraint in the occupied territories. He

also pressed Sharon to allow Israeli foreign minister Shimon Peres to meet with

Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, even though Bush was highly critical of Arafat’s

leadership.117 Bush also said publicly that he supported a Palestinian state.118

Alarmed by these developments, Sharon accused Bush of trying "to appease the

Arabs at our expense," warning that Israel "will not be Czechoslovakia."119

Bush was reportedly furious at Sharon’s likening him to Neville Chamberlain,

and White House press secretary Ari Fleischer called Sharon’s remarks

"unacceptable."120 The Israeli prime minister offered a pro forma apology, but he

quickly joined forces with the Lobby to convince the Bush administration and the

American people that the United States and Israel faced a common threat from

terrorism.121 Israeli officials and Lobby representatives repeatedly emphasized

that there was no real difference between Arafat and Osama bin Laden, and

insisted that the United States and Israel should isolate the Palestinians’ elected

leader and have nothing to do with him.122

The Lobby also went to work in Congress. On November 16, 89 senators sent

Bush a letter praising him for refusing to meet with Arafat, but also demanding

that the United States not restrain Israel from retaliating against the Palestinians

and insisting that the administration state publicly that it stood steadfastly

behind Israel. According to the New York Times, the letter "stemmed from a

meeting two weeks ago between leaders of the American Jewish community and

key senators," adding that AIPAC was "particularly active in providing advice

on the letter."123

By late November, relations between Tel Aviv and Washington had improved

considerably. This was due in part to the Lobby’s efforts to bend U.S. policy in

Israel’s direction, but also to America’s initial victory in Afghanistan, which

26

reduced the perceived need for Arab support in dealing with al Qaeda. Sharon

visited the White House in early December and had a friendly meeting with

Bush.124

But trouble erupted again in April 2002, after the IDF launched Operation

Defensive Shield and resumed control of virtually all of the major Palestinian

areas on the West Bank.125 Bush knew that Israel’s action would damage

America’s image in the Arab and Islamic world and undermine the war on

terrorism, so he demanded on April 4 that Sharon "halt the incursions and begin

withdrawal." He underscored this message two days later, saying this meant

"withdrawal without delay." On April 7, Bush’s national security advisor,

Condoleezza Rice, told reporters that, "‘without delay’ means without delay. It

means now." That same day Secretary of State Colin Powell set out for the

Middle East to pressure all sides to stop fighting and start negotiating.126

Israel and the Lobby swung into action. A key target was Powell, who began

feeling intense heat from pro-Israel officials in Vice President Cheney’s office and

the Pentagon, as well as from neoconservative pundits like Robert Kagan and

William Kristol, who accused him of having "virtually obliterated the distinction

between terrorists and those fighting terrorists."127 A second target was Bush

himself, who was being pressed by Jewish leaders and Christian evangelicals, the

latter a key component of his political base. Tom DeLay and Dick Armey were

especially outspoken about the need to support Israel, and DeLay and Senate

Minority Leader Trent Lott visited the White House and personally warned Bush

to back off.128

The first sign that Bush was caving came on April 11—only one week after he

told Sharon to withdraw his forces—when Ari Fleischer said the President

believes Sharon is "a man of peace."129 Bush repeated this statement publicly

upon Powell’s return from his abortive mission, and he told reporters that

Sharon had responded satisfactorily to his call for a full and immediate

withdrawal.130 Sharon had done no such thing, but the President of the United

States was no longer willing to make an issue of it.

Meanwhile, Congress was also moving to back Sharon. On May 2, it overrode

the Administration’s objections and passed two resolutions reaffirming support

for Israel. (The Senate vote was 94 to 2; the House version passed 352-21). Both

resolutions emphasized that the United States "stands in solidarity with Israel"

and that the two countries are, to quote the House resolution, "now engaged in a

common struggle against terrorism." The House version also condemned "the

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ongoing support of terror by Yasir Arafat," who was portrayed as a central

element of the terrorism problem.131 A few days later, a bipartisan congressional

delegation on a fact-finding mission in Israel publicly proclaimed that Sharon

should resist U.S. pressure to negotiate with Arafat.132 On May 9, a House

appropriations subcommittee met to consider giving Israel an extra $200 million

to fight terrorism. Secretary of State Powell opposed the package, but the Lobby

backed it, just as it had helped author the two congressional resolutions.133

Powell lost.

In short, Sharon and the Lobby took on the President of the United States and

triumphed. Hemi Shalev, a journalist for the Israel newspaper Ma’ariv, reported

that Sharon’s aides "could not hide their satisfaction in view of Powell’s failure.

Sharon saw the white in President Bush’s eyes, they bragged, and the President

blinked first."134 But it was the pro-Israel forces in the United States, not Sharon

or Israel, that played the key role in defeating Bush.

The situation has changed little since then. The Bush Administration refused to

deal further with Arafat, who eventually died in November 2004. It has

subsequently embraced the new Palestinian leader, Mahmoud Abbas, but has

done little to help him gain a viable state. Sharon continued to develop his plans

for unilateral "disengagement" from the Palestinians, based on withdrawal from

Gaza coupled with continued expansion on the West Bank, which entails

building the so-called "security fence," seizing Palestinian-owned land, and

expanding settlement blocs and road networks. By refusing to negotiate with

Abbas (who favors a negotiated settlement) and making it impossible for him to

deliver tangible benefits to the Palestinian people, Sharon’s strategy contributed

directly to Hamas’ recent electoral victory.135 With Hamas in power, however,

Israel has another excuse not to negotiate. The administration has supported

Sharon’s actions (and those of his successor, Ehud Olmert), and Bush has even

endorsed unilateral Israeli annexations in the Occupied Territories, reversing the

stated policy of every president since Lyndon Johnson.136

U.S. officials have offered mild criticisms of a few Israeli actions, but have done

little to help create a viable Palestinian state. Former national security advisor

Brent Scowcroft even declared in October 2004 that Sharon has President Bush

"wrapped around his little finger."137 If Bush tries to distance the United States